| Category | Dissertation | Subject | Education |
|---|---|---|---|
| University | University of East London | Module Title | AC70051E: Dissertation |
| Word Count | 15,000 words |
|---|---|
| Assessment Type | Dissertation |
| Academic Year | 2025-26 |
The foreign exchange (forex) market is a turbulent one with countless factors that affect it such as economic and political policies, and global sentiment. Forecasting of the forex market, especially concerning its changes when some large-scale events take place, is one of the most widely discussed topics........View More
Chapter 1: Introduction .................................................................................................................... 3
1.1 Research Aims ......................................................................................................................... 5
1.2 Research Objectives ................................................................................................................. 5
1.3 Research Questions and Hypotheses ....................................................................................... 6
Chapter 2: Literature Review ....................................................................................................... 8
2.1 Theoretical Foundations and Market Responses to Geopolitical Events ................................. 8
2.2 Economic Policies and Their Impact on Forex Markets ......................................................... 9
2.3 The Role of Economic Uncertainties and Crises ...................................................................... 9
2.4 Contrasting Views and the Evolving Market Theories .......................................................... 10
2.5 Economic Policies and Foreign Exchange Volatility ............................................................ 12
2.6 Pandemic Impact on Global Forex Markets .......................................................................... 13
2.7 Methodological Approaches in Forex Market Research ....................................................... 14
Chapter 3: Research Methodology ............................................................................................. 15
3.1 Data and Methodology .......................................................................................................... 15
3.2 Data Sources and Collection .................................................................................................. 16
3.3 Variable Selection Reasoning ................................................................................................ 16
3.4 Variables and Measurement ................................................................................................... 17
3.5 Description of Methodology ................................................................................................. 17
3.6 Empirical Model ................................................................................................................... 18
3.7 Theoretical Impact of Geopolitical and Economic Events on the Forex Market .................. 20
3.8 Rationale for the Events ........................................................................................................ 22
3.9 Analyzing Forex Market Reactions to Critical Events ......................................................... 22
3.10 Data Analysis Technique .................................................................................................... 24
3.11 Conclusion .......................................................................................................................... 26
Chapter 4: Analysis of Secondary Data ..................................................................................... 26
4.1 Descriptive Statistics Analysis ............................................................................................... 26
4.2 Correlation Analysis of Forex and Market Indices .............................................................. 28
4.3 Regression Analysis ............................................................................................................. 30
4.4 Event Analysis Results ......................................................................................................... 31
4.5 Hypothesis Results ................................................................................................................ 33
Chapter 5: Discussion .................................................................................................................. 36
5.1 Alignment with Research Objectives .................................................................................... 36
5.2 Examination of Statistically Significant Events ..................................................................... 37
5.3 Alignment with Research Questions ..................................................................................... 37
5.4 The Impact of COVID-19 on Forex Markets: A Before-and-After Analysis ......................... 38
5.5 Long-Term Changes in Forex Market Dynamics Post-COVID ............................................ 39
5.6 The Impact of COVID-19 on Forex Markets: An Empirical Analysis .................................. 40
5.7 Impact of COVID-19 on Market Volatility .......................................................................... 41
5.8 Significant Features in Forex Market Analysis Results ....................................................... 42
5.9 Practical Implications for Forex Trading Strategies ............................................................. 44
5.10 Limitations and Future Research ........................................................................................ 44
Chapter 6: Conclusion & Suggested Future Research ............................................................... 45
6.1 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................. 45
6.2 Assessment of Contributions .................................................................................................. 46
6.3 Broader Implications of the Findings .................................................................................... 47
6.4 Limitations of the Research .................................................................................................. 48
6.5 Suggested Future Research .................................................................................................... 48
References .................................................................................................................................... 50
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