HH5561 Health Economics and Decision Modelling Assignment |UOG

Assignment Brief

The assignment involves analyzing a decision model provided in Excel worksheets. Key tasks include:

1. Programming the Decision Model

• Use the provided structure and data for a stylized testing intervention.

2. Performing Sensitivity Analysis

• Assess how different inputs influence the model’s outcomes.

3. Reporting Results

• Write a short report summarizing findings from the model and analysis.

Model Summary

• Structure: Decision tree.
• Time Horizon: 12 months.
• Perspective: Health care payer (Canadian dollars).
• Follow-up Periods:

1. 1 Month: Assess outcomes post-hospital stay.
2. 12 Months: Evaluate infection resolution and symptoms.

• Potential Patient States:

1. Alive (with/without complications).
2. Dead (with/without antibiotics)

Clinical Parameters
 

Parameter                Value (Mean)Standard Error Notes

Mortality            
Baseline (current practice)    0.15    0.02    1-month follow-up
RR (Testing strategy)              0.9     0.03    
Mortality after complications  0.3    0.06    12-month follow-up
Mortality (no complications)  0.05    0.01    
Complications            
Baseline (current practice)     0.25    0.04    
RR (Testing strategy)              0.75    0.12    
Antibiotic Initiation            
Baseline (current practice)      0.85    0.07    
RR (Testing strategy)              0.65    0.09